Wednesday, 20 October 2010

Designing a simple business part I: Working that idea

This is the first in a series of posts I plan on the topic of designing a simple business. The idea for the series started when I realized simplicity is a common feature of many of the great startups that are out there. If you can visualize a business it’s easier to evaluate it, and improve the individual parts. This first post deals with the initial idea, and the main message about your initial idea is to get you to simplify your idea - don’t bite off more than you can chew.

What is a business idea? - The three components.
A business starts off with an idea. The idea should be something that creates value for someone, said value must be deliverable to whomever it creates value for, and there should be some way of capturing this value (including protecting it). If this process seems simple for a particular idea, it’s easier to think of it as good.

A good idea exemplified
Imagine you’re the inventor of corrective eyewear (i.e. glasses). Until now there has been no product which deals with bad sight. You can probably pretty quickly see roughly how you could go about making money on this idea. Corrective eyewear creates value for people that have poor eyesight, it can be delivered through for example pharmacies, and you can capture the value through charging money on the spot. Additionally it is likely that you could protect the idea with patent, for instance the use of optical lenses for correcting eyesight should be patentable if you are the first to think of it.

The simplicity that makes this idea good comes from three aspects. Firstly, the idea deals with a specific need. Secondly, there is a clear path to market which may not cost you too much (i.e. it’s “doable”), and lastly there is a clear way to make money, as well as a clear model of how you can protect the idea (patent) while you build a strong market position.

Simplify your idea!
Too often entrepreneurs pitch ideas that are just too complex, and it comes from the typical business/engineering school instinct of wanting to cover everything. Every customer, every need that customer have/will come across in the foreseeable future. Every possible product that can cover these needs, and every application of said product. The reason we do this is that we think there’s more money in more customers, and more products. Which of course there is. However, very few companies end up where they thought they were going. Starting a business is all about adaptation. And to be successful, you need an idea that you can test systematically and improve upon.

Note that it’s not always that complex ideas are bad. They’re just hard to test objectively, because you cannot separate the issues. For this reason I propose that the first thing to do when starting a business is to simplify the business idea.

A complex idea
The other day I met a young aspiring entrepreneur. He was full of life, and eager to tell me his idea. I paraphrase:
“So what I was thinking was to automate grocery stores, so customers can just make a shopping list online, say when they want to pick their goods up, and just appear at the store. Also there would be no one working in this store, so you would check out everything yourself. Furthermore all inventories would be updated at the suppliers, so everything would always be in stock, but just enough to handle the daily demand”.
Ok, I thought, as he continued:
“Now I’m into automation, so I would make a system where deliveries would be made at the back and everything would be tagged with RFID-chips,( there’s so many cool things you can do with those), robots would then sort the goods and pick out what people order into bags. So everything’s ready when the customers appear!”

So what’s the need anyway?
This idea is so complex, and includes so many different aspects, that it's really hard to understand even what the actual need is. At first it seems the need is for a simpler shopping experience. But is it really simpler to go to a website and pick everything you need? How would you pay, do you need to enter your credit card number or would you pay on pick up? Do you need an account? How do you verify that the person that picks it up is the right person? What if someone else picks up your groceries after you paid for them? It could be a simpler shopping experience, but maybe it’s really just a faster shopping experience? Maybe removing the need for staff is a significant cost reduction for a store? Or is it just a cooler shopping experience?

In any case simpler and faster in this context are secondary needs. The consumer’s primary need is for groceries. Imagine the complexity of creating a grocery chain in and of itself. Imagine to then try to make it simpler and faster! Indeed you would have to compete on a lot of other factors as well. Would you for example be equipped to keep the salad green? And I'm not even going to attempt to comment on the capital needs to make this happen.

Let’s simplify!
Creating a new grocery store is very complex, and I think we can agree that doing so is probably not something you'd want to do. And if you are not deterred yet, let me assure you that you will not have an easy time raising funds for such a venture.

But there's a silver lining, because surely there are great ideas within this idea. From the idea, we can find many smaller ideas. The point is to start with something simple, something that you can easily test against the market. One way we can go about extracting ideas from his idea, is by looking at the needs, and finding solutions to service them. Let’s look at the need for lower costs for grocery stores, and see if we can extract something simpler. Now I’m not claiming that this is a good (or new) idea - just that it’s simpler, and therefore easier to understand and test in a structured way. Let us then ask the question, "how can we use automation to cut costs in a grocery store?"

A simpler idea to lower costs for grocery stores
One of the main drivers of costs for grocery stores is the staff. The main bulk of people working at grocery stores are those that scan items and receive payment. So if we could automate checkout it would represent a clear cost reduction. One way to do this is by allowing customers to do this job themselves. Self-checkout would be presented in stations, each station consisting of 5 registers, each with a scanner and a system for payment. At each station one clerk would be stationed to help customers that need help, to receive cash payments (if this is important to incorporate of course), and to make sure everyone is using it correctly (e.g. so they don’t leave without paying). The solution could be delivered on a store-by-store basis, so that a chain of stores would try it out at some locations first, and then scale it up when they were comfortable using the system. Value could be captured through a leasing based plan, and the idea would be protected by moving quickly to gain a first mover advantage (for those that believe in that sort of thing).

Evaluating the idea
Regardless of whether the idea above is good or not, we certainly understand better what it’s all about now. If we decided to start a company commercializing this technology we could write down hundreds of clear and testable hypotheses about the market, which we could then proceed to test, for instance:
-    Grocery chains wish to reduce costs by replacing staff
-    Customers are willing to check out their own goods
-    Cash payments are important for customers
-    Customers will generally be honest when scanning their merchandise

Some things would be confirmed, and some things would be completely different from expected. These things would have to be sorted out. This is where the real innovation lies. For example, if customers are dis-honest, how can you make the check-out desks verify that all goods was scanned, and that the correct goods was scanned?

Of course it’s not that straight forward in real life, you still need to consider your competitors, make a strategy to avoid being copied too soon, facilitate production, consider your costs and pricing structure, and so on. However, you can now visualize how the business might look. This is a necessary first step to formulating the hypothesis that needs to be true in order for your business to flourish. The next step would then be to start testing these

The next post will look more closely on evaluating your idea, and deals with the 10 questions you should spend 15 minutes asking yourself before you move ahead to more advanced and time consuming analysis' of your idea.

Lessons learned:
-    Ideas should ideally include how your business might create, capture and deliver value.
-    When you see how an idea might work, it’s easier to formulate testable hypotheses about the product.
-    Complex ideas, that are hard to visualize can and should be simplified.

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